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Prediction markets
10 active markets
· category “Fed”
How it works
How to trade
Fed rate hike by...?
October Meeting
93%
September Meeting
83%
3 more
$1.59M
Vol.
Oct 29
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$27
64 trading now
Fed Decision in October?
No change
89%
25 bps increase
37%
3 more
$349K
Vol.
Oct 28
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$28
48 trading now
Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)
Other
97%
Pause–Pause–Pause
47%
7 more
$544K
Vol.
Oct 28
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
47 trading now
Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
Other
83%
Pause–Pause–Pause
68%
7 more
$581K
Vol.
Sep 16
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$30
63 trading now
What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?
Good day
99%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
99%
32 more
$70K
Vol.
Jul 29
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
47 trading now
Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)
Pause–Pause–Pause
99%
Other
31%
7 more
$893K
Vol.
Jul 29
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
52 trading now
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
0 (0 bps)
49%
2 (50 bps)
47%
4 more
$59K
Vol.
Dec 31
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$51
42 trading now
How many dissent at the July Fed meeting?
0
40%
Yes
No
1
38%
Yes
No
$50K
Vol.
Jul 29
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$51
53 trading now
Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?
13%
chance
Yes
No
$5.1K
Vol.
Dec 31
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$196
43 trading now
Jerome Powell federally charged by...?
5%
chance
Yes
No
$318K
Vol.
Dec 31
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
55 trading now
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