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Prediction markets
16 active markets
· category “Science”
How it works
How to trade
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Hong Wang
99%
Yu Deng
99%
9 more
$879K
Vol.
Jul 30
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
64 trading now
Precipitation in Hong Kong in July?
600mm+
99%
<400mm
2%
8 more
$41K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
38 trading now
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 27 - August 2?
50%
chance
Yes
No
$6.0K
Vol.
Aug 2
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$50
32 trading now
Precipitation in London in July?
<30mm
99%
30-40mm
2%
5 more
$12K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
44 trading now
July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
1.20–1.24ºC
99%
1.25–1.29ºC
16%
4 more
$47K
Vol.
Aug 1
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
47 trading now
Precipitation in Seattle in July?
<0.5"
99%
1-1.5"
12%
5 more
$4.5K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
42 trading now
2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
1st hottest
99%
3rd hottest
8%
2 more
$114K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
42 trading now
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
December 31
80%
August 30
73%
2 more
$1.4K
Vol.
Jan 1
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$31
37 trading now
Precipitation in NYC in July?
4-5"
64%
5-6"
60%
4 more
$33K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$39
48 trading now
Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by July 31?
2500+
99%
5000+
99%
4 more
$35K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
37 trading now
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
7%
chance
Yes
No
$122K
Vol.
Mar 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
46 trading now
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
4%
chance
Yes
No
$578K
Vol.
Dec 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
48 trading now
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