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Prediction markets
12 active markets
· category “Oil”
How it works
How to trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
22%
chance
Yes
No
$3.06M
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$115
66 trading now
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?
40+
99%
30+
20%
5 more
$1.42M
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
56 trading now
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
44%
chance
Yes
No
$706K
Vol.
Sep 30
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$56
48 trading now
Crude Oil all time high by...?
20%
chance
Yes
No
$2.09M
Vol.
Dec 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$123
61 trading now
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?
78%
chance
Yes
No
$83K
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$32
51 trading now
Houthis successfully target shipping on...?
August 9
61%
August 22
50%
34 more
$50K
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$41
51 trading now
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of July?
0-20
99%
20-40
5%
3 more
$248K
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
53 trading now
Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by August 28?
285M
99%
300M
99%
4 more
$21K
Vol.
Sep 9
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
53 trading now
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026
67%
August
24%
5 more
$140K
Vol.
Dec 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$37
45 trading now
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of July 27?
50-74
50%
25-49
47%
3 more
$945.56
Vol.
Aug 2
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$50
32 trading now
Houthis successfully target shipping by...?
July 31
99%
August 31
99%
1 more
$63K
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
51 trading now
Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of July?
25-27
57%
31-33
57%
5 more
$12K
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$44
43 trading now
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